If one looks at the history of the last twenty years in Presidential elections one can see a repeated pattern of the better potential candidates dropping out. In 1992 Bush the Elder had an approval rating of above 80 percent a year before the primaries. Fresh off the Persian Gulf War he seemed invincible. This is how Bill Clinton was able to gain his parties nomination. This is not to dismiss Clinton's ability and future Presidency. However with the baggage and scandals he fought off that year had a stronger candidate entered there is little doubt Clinton would have lost.
To win one has to enter. In 1992 Bill Bradley, Mario Cuomo and others were all too scared to run against Bush who was presumed unbeatable. Things change. You have to be on the field of battle to win when the other guy falls down unexpectedly.
In 2008 Hillary Clinton was the presumptive nominee. Somehow Barack Obama became the viable option and defeated her. This year it is the Republicans. One after the other candidates who we all presume would have been strong, or at least stronger candidates than those we are left with, have bowed out before the race began.
This morning I watched Chris Christie on Morning Joe. Chris Christie is a big man, he has done some things in New Jersey that many people do not like. I think it is highly unlikely that I could ever support him. One thing Chris Christie is however is intellectually honest and forthright.
There is not alot of meandering opinion to Chris Christie. To those in the media and on the left which would make a story over his size there are a great deal of Americans who would feel sympathetic to him over this issue and feel like the press was being unfair. Chris Christie was in my opinion, and pardon the pun, twice the candidate of any of those left standing in the Republican field. He would have been a strong opponent for Obama and could possibly have played a strong hand in both New Jersey and Pennsylvania, states the Republicans would improve their chances greatly by winning.
Watching Christie today advising that perhaps Mitt Romney should just release his tax returns and get it over with you have to sense that Christie is thinking I could have run away with this thing. Perhaps not, Rudy Gulliani, could not gain traction but one senses that Christie could have.
He would have to be better than Romney, who I am beginning to believe might be cracked open like a walnut.
Wednesday, January 18, 2012
Does Chris Christie regret his decision?
Labels:
Bill Clinton,
Chris Christie,
Mario Cuomo,
Mitt Romney,
Rudy Gulliani
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