Mike Huckabee, Mitch Daniels, Haley Barbour, Donald Trump and others have all announced that they will not be seeking the nomination for the Presidency.
Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty and Jon Huntsman are running. The name recognition of any of these candidates is low.
It is assumed that Obama should be a slam dunk but I do not think it is a guarentee. Bush the elder had higher poll numbers and scared off the top tier challengers opening the door for Bill Clinton.
In the end it will come down to the economy and the energy of the electorate. Just a few states will determine the story, the upper midwest and the southwest are considered the swing states as the South is strongly Red and the Northeast and West are strong blue. So despite national polls it really comes down to energy in states like Ohio and Michigan.
Obama's labor policies will not gain him any friends. He is invisible and while it is true few labor partisons should vote Republican they may not vote at all.
Romney has in the end cut too many jobs. He will be ripped apart in the desolate economy parts of the country. Gingrich is a joke. So it comes down to Pawlenty and Huntsman. Shockingly I think Huntsman could be the best candidate but he is going to have trouble out of the gate . Republicans need a late candidate and they might get it but it might be too soon. Jeb Bush would walk away with the nomination but is it too soon. My guess is he might get in. That would set up a pretty epic battle.
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