Thursday, February 24, 2011

The Middle East - Libya's Turn

After limited violence and mostly peaceful protest led to the fall of the dictatorial governments in Tunesia and Egypt did we really think that our old friend Mohomar Khadaffi would go peacefully into the night in Libya.

The violence in Libya appears to be much worse than had taken place earlier. Civil War would be a possibility but it seems Khadaffi's support is very limited and without the mercenaries that he has recruited would be less. A final battle for Tripoli may be the deciding factor on when, not if, Khadaffi falls.

It seems that while the protests are widespread across the Middle East and North Africa the media attention appears to be in a domino theory so one wonders if Libya follows Egypt what cones next. Yemen, Bahrain, Jordan and Saudi Arabia all are candidates.

I read an opinion peace that stated that Iran was the biggest winner as the reduction in influence of these stable dictatorships leaves a vacuum that Iran might well be able to exploit. This has to be a concern of the United States and certainly Israel cannot be happy that all of these countries are becoming so unstable.

We really do not where this is going to end.

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